Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.212408 0.245707 0.282478 0.326093 0.376417 0.432670 0.500338
2025-10-12 0.163007 0.208521 0.263958 0.336441 0.428752 0.542451 0.693280
2025-10-19 0.135958 0.186486 0.252350 0.344487 0.470123 0.635615 0.870524
2025-10-26 0.116015 0.168466 0.240737 0.347571 0.501605 0.715927 1.037429
2025-11-02 0.099175 0.151315 0.226696 0.343589 0.520478 0.778561 1.184697
2025-11-09 0.084219 0.134321 0.209943 0.332348 0.525778 0.820242 1.303925
2025-11-16 0.076459 0.126977 0.206281 0.339767 0.559201 0.906433 1.499520
2025-11-23 0.068907 0.118806 0.200043 0.341830 0.583595 0.980125 1.682381
2025-11-30 0.063155 0.112775 0.196351 0.347249 0.613497 1.065055 1.892268
2025-12-07 0.056185 0.103709 0.186369 0.340473 0.621302 1.112894 2.042679
2025-12-14 0.050604 0.096392 0.178498 0.336294 0.632800 1.167635 2.210327
2025-12-21 0.046826 0.091909 0.175134 0.339778 0.658311 1.249517 2.435841
2025-12-28 0.045086 0.091175 0.178752 0.357074 0.712235 1.390417 2.790902
2026-01-04 0.042729 0.088960 0.179318 0.368549 0.756256 1.517365 3.133691
2026-01-11 0.040302 0.086289 0.178644 0.377358 0.795735 1.639212 3.479320
2026-01-18 0.037562 0.082628 0.175537 0.380735 0.824275 1.741762 3.796019
2026-01-25 0.034385 0.077649 0.169135 0.376374 0.835883 1.810362 4.047833
2026-02-01 0.030867 0.071505 0.159581 0.364064 0.828823 1.838546 4.214306
2026-02-08 0.029361 0.069710 0.159268 0.372188 0.867820 1.970027 4.625292
2026-02-15 0.027537 0.066964 0.156529 0.374448 0.893648 2.074779 4.986265
2026-02-22 0.026130 0.065039 0.155438 0.380382 0.928559 2.203391 5.416688
2026-03-01 0.023965 0.061026 0.149051 0.372961 0.930819 2.256463 5.671583
2026-03-08 0.022177 0.057745 0.144060 0.368386 0.939466 2.325397 5.972673